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Saturday, November 8, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
3 – 6
Final
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
48% xGF%
52% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.11 goals CAR was expected to score 2.31 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 2 Cumulative xG BUF CAR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Carolina Hurricanes
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play - 0.07 0 - 0.34 1
Even Strength - 1.93 3 - 1.97 3
Penalty Kill - 0.11 0 - 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 17:14 0.62 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 21:30 0.87 1
Tied 21:16 0.35 0 21:16 0.82 2
Down 1 21:30 0.63 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 17:14 1.12 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Sebastian Aho scores at 5:00 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (0-1)
  • ► Owen Power scores at 8:18 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-1)
  • ► Andrei Svechnikov scores at 4:34 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-2)
  • ► Jesperi Kotkaniemi scores at 11:39 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (1-3)
  • ► Eric Robinson scores at 0:29 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (1-4)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 3:23 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (2-4)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 6:49 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-4)
  • ► Seth Jarvis scores at 17:56 in the 3rd period (3-5)
  • ► Charles Alexis Legault scores at 18:32 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.54 1 1 2 22 20:01 6 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.47 1 1 2 27 18:59 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.35 1 0 1 17 12:22 3 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.31 0 0 0 23 15:04 4 -2 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.26 0 0 0 16 12:31 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.26 0 1 1 26 19:23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.25 0 1 1 28 16:27 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.22 1 1 2 21 18:11 2 +1 0 1 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.20 0 1 1 21 15:57 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.19 0 0 0 22 15:15 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.16 0 0 0 21 14:11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.13 0 0 0 21 16:23 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.07 1 1 2 27 18:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.06 1 1 2 17 11:49 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.04 0 0 0 23 17:17 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.04 1 0 1 21 17:49 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.03 0 0 0 23 13:20 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.03 0 0 0 25 15:30 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.02 0 0 0 15 12:18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.00 0 1 1 17 11:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:54 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 1 1 14 08:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.20 0 0 0 28 21:30 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.14 1 0 1 28 22:08 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.13 0 0 0 28 21:39 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Joel Nystrom (D) 0.06 0 1 1 25 16:23 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.06 0 0 0 24 23:35 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.06 0 0 0 27 20:22 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.03 0 0 0 30 21:09 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Charles Alexis Legault (D) 0.03 1 1 2 31 18:21 2 +2 2 0 0 0 0
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.03 0 1 1 29 20:31 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 17:29 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.01 0 0 0 32 21:05 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 13:22 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) -4.07% 0.864 -0.9 3 19 59:01 22 W 0
BUF Alex Lyon (G) -5.13% 0.879 -1.7 4 29 58:47 33 L 0