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Tuesday, December 16, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena (FDSNDET)
NYI
New York Islanders
2 – 3
Final
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
30% xGF%
70% xGF%
NYI was expected to score 1.22 goals DET was expected to score 2.84 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG NYI DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State New York Islanders Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:28 0.13 0 1:31 0.20 2
Even Strength 54:01 1.09 2 54:01 2.64 1
Penalty Kill 1:31 0.00 0 4:28 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 37:36 0.84 0 9:48 0.54 0
Tied 12:36 0.24 1 12:36 0.73 2
Down 1 9:48 0.14 1 37:36 1.57 1
  • ► Emil Heineman scores at 4:27 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-0)
  • ► Axel Sandin-Pellikka scores at 2:03 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (1-1)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 3:55 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (1-2)
  • ► Scott Mayfield scores at 11:26 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (2-2)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 17:43 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (2-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
DET James van Riemsdyk (L) 0.48 0 0 0 16 13:45
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.43 2 0 2 21 16:50
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.40 0 0 0 23 20:55
DET John Leonard (L) 0.28 0 0 0 19 13:02
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.24 0 3 3 24 19:51
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.18 0 0 0 20 14:37
NYI Emil Heineman (L) 0.17 1 0 1 22 16:57
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.16 0 0 0 14 10:22
NYI Mathew Barzal (C) 0.15 0 1 1 22 22:26
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.13 0 0 0 23 17:25
NYI Anders Lee (L) 0.12 0 1 1 21 15:27
DET Elmer Soderblom (L) 0.12 0 0 0 15 10:43
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.11 0 0 0 21 16:51
NYI Simon Holmstrom (R) 0.10 0 0 0 20 14:42
NYI Max Shabanov (R) 0.08 0 0 0 14 16:15
NYI Kyle MacLean (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 11:45
NYI Jonathan Drouin (L) 0.05 0 1 1 21 20:47
NYI Anthony Duclair (L) 0.02 0 0 0 14 15:00
DET Nate Danielson (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:06
NYI Casey Cizikas (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:43
DET J.T. Compher (L) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:24
NYI Calum Ritchie (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 11:28
NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 14:58
NYI Marc Gatcomb (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:13
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.18 0 0 0 30 25:05
NYI Matthew Schaefer (D) 0.17 0 0 0 24 25:56
NYI Scott Mayfield (D) 0.15 1 0 1 19 16:14
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.06 1 0 1 22 17:36
NYI Tony DeAngelo (D) 0.05 0 0 0 24 17:47
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.04 0 2 2 29 24:23
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 21:04
NYI Ryan Pulock (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 22:42
NYI Adam Pelech (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 18:59
NYI Travis Mitchell (D) 0.02 0 0 0 18 15:04
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 15:06
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:55
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
NYI Ilya Sorokin (G) -0.75% 0.857 -0.2 3 18 58:06
DET John Gibson (G) -4.33% 0.889 -0.8 2 16 60:00