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Monday, February 2, 2026 (10:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Saddledome
50% xGF%
50% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.22 goals CGY was expected to score 2.25 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG TOR CGY Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Calgary Flames
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 0:00 0.00 0 3:19 0.02 0
Even Strength 56:41 2.06 3 56:41 2.23 2
Penalty Kill 3:19 0.17 0 0:00 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 8:54 0.64 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 50:31 1.48 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 0:35 0.11 1 0:35 0.08 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 50:31 1.58 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 8:54 0.59 2
  • ► William Nylander scores at 0:35 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-0)
  • ► Matias Maccelli scores at 7:17 in the 2nd period 0.22 xG (2-0)
  • ► Troy Stecher scores at 9:10 in the 2nd period 0.27 xG (3-0)
  • ► Nazem Kadri scores at 13:15 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (3-1)
  • ► Joel Farabee scores at 15:46 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (3-2)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 19:35 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
CGY Matt Coronato (R) 0.65 0 0 0 21 19:27 7 -1 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.45 1 0 1 21 17:33 2 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.37 0 1 1 19 14:06 2 +1 0 0
CGY Mikael Backlund (C) 0.23 0 0 0 22 16:16 2 0 2 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.22 1 2 3 22 17:00 3 +1 0 0
CGY Adam Klapka (R) 0.21 0 0 0 14 10:43 1 0 0 0
CGY Matvei Gridin (R) 0.21 0 0 0 19 16:24 4 -3 0 0
CGY Joel Farabee (L) 0.21 1 1 2 20 15:59 2 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.16 0 1 1 21 16:35 2 +2 0 0
CGY Connor Zary (C) 0.14 0 0 0 19 14:46 2 +2 0 0
CGY Jonathan Huberdeau (L) 0.14 0 0 0 18 14:26 0 -2 0 0
CGY Nazem Kadri (C) 0.13 1 1 2 21 19:15 3 0 0 0
CGY Yegor Sharangovich (C) 0.12 0 0 0 22 18:49 2 -1 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.11 0 1 1 22 16:45 1 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.09 0 0 0 16 15:16 1 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.08 0 0 0 16 12:15 1 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.07 0 0 0 17 14:45 0 0 2 0
CGY Morgan Frost (C) 0.07 0 0 0 20 15:53 1 -2 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.01 1 0 1 21 14:54 1 +1 0 0
CGY Ryan Lomberg (L) 0.01 0 0 0 13 10:35 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.01 0 0 0 18 14:28 1 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:53 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 11:21 0 0 0 0
CGY Martin Pospisil (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 08:59 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.48 1 0 1 29 20:08 4 +1 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.07 0 1 1 33 21:19 0 +1 0 0
CGY Yan Kuznetsov (D) 0.06 0 0 0 26 18:20 2 -1 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.05 0 0 0 24 17:29 1 +1 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 18:56 2 0 0 0
CGY Kevin Bahl (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 20:59 1 -1 0 0
CGY MacKenzie Weegar (D) 0.01 0 1 1 26 20:59 0 -1 0 0
CGY Zayne Parekh (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 20:05 1 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 30 18:31 1 0 0 0
CGY Zach Whitecloud (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 20:48 2 -1 0 0
CGY Joel Hanley (D) 0.01 0 1 1 22 16:36 0 +1 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 34 23:46 0 +1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Joseph Woll (G) +0.84% 0.933 0.3 2 28 60:00 30 W 0
CGY Dustin Wolf (G) -3.71% 0.857 -0.8 3 18 58:41 21 L 0