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Monday, February 2, 2026
10:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 2
Final
Calgary Flames
 CGY
50% xGF%
50% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.40 goals CGY was expected to score 2.43 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG TOR CGY Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Calgary Flames
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 0:00 0.00 0 3:19 0.03 0
Even Strength 56:41 2.25 3 56:41 2.41 2
Penalty Kill 3:19 0.15 0 0:00 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 8:54 0.71 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 50:31 1.60 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 0:35 0.09 1 0:35 0.05 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 50:31 1.66 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 8:54 0.73 2
  • ► William Nylander scores at 0:35 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-0)
  • ► Matias Maccelli scores at 7:17 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (2-0)
  • ► Troy Stecher scores at 9:10 in the 2nd period 0.35 xG (3-0)
  • ► Nazem Kadri scores at 13:15 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (3-1)
  • ► Joel Farabee scores at 15:46 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (3-2)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 19:35 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
CGY Matt Coronato (R) 0.53 0 0 0 21 19:27
CGY Joel Farabee (L) 0.37 1 1 2 20 15:59
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.36 1 0 1 21 17:33
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.31 0 1 1 19 14:06
CGY Mikael Backlund (C) 0.28 0 0 0 22 16:16
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.22 0 1 1 21 16:35
CGY Adam Klapka (R) 0.22 0 0 0 14 10:43
CGY Connor Zary (C) 0.21 0 0 0 19 14:46
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.20 1 2 3 22 17:00
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.20 0 0 0 16 15:16
CGY Matvei Gridin (R) 0.18 0 0 0 19 16:24
CGY Yegor Sharangovich (C) 0.16 0 0 0 22 18:49
CGY Nazem Kadri (C) 0.14 1 1 2 21 19:15
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.13 0 0 0 17 14:45
CGY Jonathan Huberdeau (L) 0.13 0 0 0 18 14:26
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.12 0 0 0 16 12:15
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.12 0 1 1 22 16:45
CGY Morgan Frost (C) 0.09 0 0 0 20 15:53
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.02 1 0 1 21 14:54
CGY Ryan Lomberg (L) 0.01 0 0 0 13 10:35
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.01 0 0 0 18 14:28
CGY Martin Pospisil (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 08:59
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 11:21
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:53
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.54 1 0 1 29 20:08
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.07 0 1 1 33 21:19
CGY Yan Kuznetsov (D) 0.05 0 0 0 26 18:20
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.05 0 0 0 24 17:29
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.03 0 0 0 26 18:56
CGY MacKenzie Weegar (D) 0.02 0 1 1 26 20:59
CGY Zayne Parekh (D) 0.02 0 0 0 24 20:05
CGY Kevin Bahl (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 20:59
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 30 18:31
CGY Zach Whitecloud (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 20:48
CGY Joel Hanley (D) 0.01 0 1 1 22 16:36
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 34 23:46
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
TOR Joseph Woll (G) +1.45% 0.933 0.4 2 28 60:00
CGY Dustin Wolf (G) -2.88% 0.857 -0.6 3 18 58:41