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Wednesday, February 25, 2026
7:30 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (TNT)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 – 4
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
41% xGF%
59% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 3.32 goals TBL was expected to score 4.85 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 2 Cumulative xG TOR TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:45 1.06 2 8:00 1.52 0
Even Strength 45:15 2.11 0 45:15 3.22 4
Penalty Kill 8:00 0.14 0 6:45 0.11 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 32:02 2.94 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 0:51 0.39 1
Tied 27:07 1.21 0 27:07 1.52 1
Down 1 0:51 0.06 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 32:02 2.04 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 7:07 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (0-1)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 7:58 in the 2nd period 0.39 xG (0-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 2:59 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (0-3)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 16:19 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (1-3)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 16:30 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (1-4)
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 17:13 in the 3rd period 0.01 xG (2-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Brayden Point (C) 1.30 2 1 3 21 22:16 5 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.63 0 0 0 22 22:25 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.55 0 0 0 16 12:29 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.46 0 0 0 26 20:30 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.42 0 2 2 19 19:02 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.42 0 0 0 17 14:15 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.40 1 2 3 14 11:51 2 +4 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.37 0 0 0 17 14:24 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.34 1 0 1 18 17:29 3 -1 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.28 0 0 0 25 17:54 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.28 1 1 2 19 17:48 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.28 1 2 3 19 23:57 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.27 0 1 1 20 22:54 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.24 0 0 0 22 19:53 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.18 0 0 0 16 12:52 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.18 0 0 0 21 15:22 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.14 0 0 0 13 10:18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.12 0 0 0 21 18:31 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.08 0 0 0 9 05:54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.06 0 0 0 13 10:59 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.02 0 0 0 16 12:02 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.02 0 0 0 12 08:11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.00 0 1 1 20 15:43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.36 0 0 0 29 22:40 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.30 0 0 0 24 18:53 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.21 0 0 0 20 23:55 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 0 0 26 20:09 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.06 0 0 0 21 14:32 1 -2 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.05 0 2 2 20 15:09 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.04 0 0 0 18 11:51 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 16:28 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 17:43 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 22:00 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 16:19 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 09:33 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 17:04 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +3.87% 0.941 1.3 2 32 60:00 34 W 0
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +2.06% 0.889 0.7 4 32 55:20 36 L 0