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Tuesday, March 3, 2026
9:30 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena (TNT)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1 – 5
Final
Minnesota Wild
 MIN
53% xGF%
47% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.63 goals MIN was expected to score 2.36 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG TBL MIN Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Minnesota Wild
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:46 1.12 0 7:36 0.50 1
Even Strength 45:38 1.51 1 45:38 1.68 3
Penalty Kill 7:36 0.00 0 6:46 0.18 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 32:58 1.51 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 23:16 0.72 2
Tied 3:46 0.07 0 3:46 0.13 1
Down 1 23:16 1.13 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 32:58 1.43 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Brock Faber scores at 3:46 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (0-1)
  • ► Mats Zuccarello scores at 4:59 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (0-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 15:07 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-2)
  • ► Yakov Trenin scores at 17:10 in the 2nd period 0.18 xG (1-3)
  • ► Quinn Hughes scores at 6:53 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (1-4)
  • ► Kirill Kaprizov scores at 16:41 in the 3rd period (1-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
MIN MIN xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.67 0 1 1 22 22:11 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.48 0 0 0 26 16:19 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Kirill Kaprizov (L) 0.46 1 0 1 20 22:11 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Yakov Trenin (C) 0.43 1 0 1 17 15:18 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.38 0 0 0 19 15:56 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.37 1 0 1 24 22:56 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Robby Fabbri (C) 0.25 0 0 0 12 09:16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (R) 0.24 0 0 0 18 14:21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Mats Zuccarello (R) 0.23 1 1 2 18 20:24 2 +1 0 1 0 0 0
MIN Matt Boldy (L) 0.15 0 3 3 20 19:57 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.12 0 0 0 22 20:50 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 10:40 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Marcus Johansson (L) 0.04 0 1 1 17 10:45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.01 0 0 0 11 07:29 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 12:59 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Nico Sturm (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Danila Yurov (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 13:54 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Vinnie Hinostroza (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:05 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Ryan Hartman (R) 0.00 0 0 0 20 16:29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.00 0 1 1 23 19:50 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 18:20 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 16:12 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 13:07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.38 0 0 0 24 23:07 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Quinn Hughes (D) 0.26 1 1 2 23 26:01 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Brock Faber (D) 0.16 1 1 2 27 24:12 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Zach Bogosian (D) 0.09 0 0 0 19 14:25 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 0 0 0 20 15:43 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.04 0 0 0 21 16:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jonas Brodin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 15:24 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 15 11:08 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jake Middleton (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 18:26 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 0 0 0 19 14:49 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 16:51 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:37 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jared Spurgeon (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 15:27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
MIN Filip Gustavsson (G) +6.52% 0.960 1.6 1 24 60:00 25 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -7.83% 0.810 -1.6 4 17 58:18 21 L 0