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Sunday, March 15, 2026
7:30 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena (TNT)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 2
Final
Minnesota Wild
 MIN
34% xGF%
66% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 1.86 goals MIN was expected to score 3.66 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 2 Cumulative xG TOR MIN Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Minnesota Wild
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:55 0.50 0 5:34 0.42 0
Even Strength 50:31 1.37 3 50:31 3.20 2
Penalty Kill 5:34 0.00 0 3:55 0.04 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 23:32 0.87 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 15:21 0.25 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 21:07 0.74 1 21:07 1.41 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 15:21 0.97 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 23:32 1.28 2
  • ► Morgan Rielly scores at 1:07 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-0)
  • ► Bo Groulx scores at 2:19 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (2-0)
  • ► Bo Groulx scores at 8:18 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (3-0)
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 4:51 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (3-1)
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 5:14 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (3-2)
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 19:23 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
MIN Mats Zuccarello (R) 0.62 0 2 2 19 21:35 5 +1 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Yakov Trenin (C) 0.59 0 0 0 14 13:04 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.43 0 1 1 23 19:49 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Matt Boldy (L) 0.42 0 0 0 19 19:28 4 -2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (R) 0.37 2 0 2 19 16:55 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Kirill Kaprizov (L) 0.31 0 0 0 19 22:41 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Ryan Hartman (R) 0.31 0 2 2 18 16:52 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (C) 0.26 0 0 0 19 18:47 4 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.24 0 0 0 14 11:09 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.23 0 0 0 22 17:42 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.20 0 1 1 18 14:19 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Michael McCarron (R) 0.19 0 0 0 12 09:20 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.14 1 0 1 21 21:29 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.12 2 0 2 21 17:03 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.12 0 0 0 18 10:22 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Nico Sturm (C) 0.07 0 0 0 10 07:49 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.05 0 1 1 17 13:41 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Nick Foligno (L) 0.03 0 0 0 14 11:10 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Marcus Johansson (L) 0.02 0 0 0 15 12:33 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 15:26 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.00 0 0 0 17 16:39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 10:54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Danila Yurov (R) 0.00 0 0 0 14 12:48 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.16 1 0 1 27 17:38 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Brock Faber (D) 0.16 0 0 0 27 23:30 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Quinn Hughes (D) 0.14 0 0 0 26 31:17 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jake Middleton (D) 0.12 0 0 0 16 12:11 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.07 0 1 1 24 17:13 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.06 0 0 0 26 17:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jonas Brodin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 19:18 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jeff Petry (D) 0.03 0 0 0 14 10:14 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.02 0 0 0 31 26:49 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 32 25:07 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Jared Spurgeon (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 18:02 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 14:46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +4.30% 0.947 1.6 2 36 58:05 38 W 0
MIN Jesper Wallstedt (G) -4.55% 0.880 -1.1 3 22 58:26 25 L 0