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Thursday, May 14, 2026
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (TNT)
MTL
Montreal Canadiens
6 – 3
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
44% xGF%
56% xGF%
MTL was expected to score 2.75 goals BUF was expected to score 3.45 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG MTL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Montreal Canadiens Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 1:33 0.20 2 8:21 0.62 0
Even Strength 50:06 2.54 4 50:06 2.83 3
Penalty Kill 8:21 0.00 0 1:33 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 22:27 0.38 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 1:18 0.10 1 22:26 1.07 0
Tied 13:49 1.45 1 13:49 0.42 3
Down 1 22:26 0.82 3 1:18 0.00 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 22:27 1.96 0
  • ► Jason Zucker scores at 2:00 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (0-1)
  • ► Cole Caufield scores at 6:31 in the 1st period 0.24 xG (1-1)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 7:45 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (1-2)
  • ► Alexandre Texier scores at 7:54 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (2-2)
  • ► Konsta Helenius scores at 10:15 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (2-3)
  • ► Josh Anderson scores at 8:01 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (3-3)
  • ► Jake Evans scores at 16:15 in the 2nd period 0.30 xG (4-3)
  • ► Nick Suzuki scores at 17:33 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (5-3)
  • ► Ivan Demidov scores at 3:32 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (6-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
MTL MTL xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.65 0 0 0 27 20:32
MTL Ivan Demidov (R) 0.54 1 1 2 17 14:44
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.36 1 0 1 26 21:32
MTL Cole Caufield (R) 0.35 1 0 1 21 16:48
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.33 1 0 1 20 11:47
MTL Alexandre Texier (L) 0.32 1 0 1 18 12:27
MTL Jake Evans (C) 0.30 1 0 1 22 17:50
MTL Kirby Dach (C) 0.30 0 0 0 17 09:05
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.25 0 1 1 25 16:10
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.19 0 0 0 20 14:46
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.18 1 0 1 25 13:35
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.18 0 0 0 21 13:23
MTL Juraj Slafkovský (L) 0.17 0 3 3 24 19:17
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.16 0 0 0 25 21:04
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.16 0 0 0 26 20:05
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.15 0 0 0 25 16:59
MTL Joe Veleno (C) 0.15 0 0 0 17 09:56
MTL Zachary Bolduc (R) 0.15 0 0 0 16 09:52
MTL Josh Anderson (R) 0.11 1 0 1 21 14:29
MTL Nick Suzuki (C) 0.10 1 2 3 23 20:45
MTL Phillip Danault (C) 0.07 0 2 2 23 16:00
MTL Alex Newhook (C) 0.04 0 1 1 21 16:15
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.03 0 0 0 13 09:21
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.01 0 0 0 13 10:03
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.30 0 1 1 30 27:28
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.21 0 0 0 26 21:47
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.14 0 1 1 26 25:27
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.12 0 1 1 26 21:52
MTL Noah Dobson (D) 0.07 0 0 0 31 20:20
MTL Mike Matheson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 28 26:18
MTL Lane Hutson (D) 0.02 0 2 2 27 20:33
MTL Alexandre Carrier (D) 0.01 0 1 1 34 23:27
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.01 0 1 1 13 10:56
MTL Kaiden Guhle (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 20:38
MTL Arber Xhekaj (D) 0.00 0 0 0 10 07:16
BUF Luke Schenn (D) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:01
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
MTL Jakub Dobes (G) +1.25% 0.917 0.4 3 33 60:00
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -11.45% 0.783 -2.6 5 18 40:00
BUF Alex Lyon (G) -20.67% 0.667 -0.6 1 2 13:39