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Monday, December 28, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Lenovo Center | CARNHL
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
41% Win Probability
59% Win Probability
TBL is expected to score 2.93 goals CAR is expected to score 3.43 goals

Data shown on this page was last updated on November 2, 2026 at 3:13 AM.
The rosters and injuries below reflect current state, not anticipated state on the date/time of this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning Carolina Hurricanes
Record 8-3-2 12-2-2
L10 Record 6-2-2 8-1-1
Pts% 69.23% 81.25%
Division Rank 4 (Atlantic) 1 (Metropolitan)
Conference Rank 5 (Eastern) 1 (Eastern)
Projected Points 99.40 106.21
xGF/G 3.36 ● +0.423.78
xGA/G 2.80 ● +0.382.43
xGF% 54.48% ● +6.4260.90%
L10 xGF 34.48 ● +2.3136.79
L10 xGA 27.53 ● +3.2124.32
L10 xGF% 55.60% ● +4.6060.20%
Forwards
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.51 8 8 16 13 21:28 6.6 -0.6 58 13.8 0.114 2.4 4 1 25.0 0.00 -0.08 -0.08
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.49 9 12 21 16 19:54 7.9 1.1 45 20.0 0.174 2.6 274 158 57.7 0.60 -0.04 0.55
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.46 8 6 14 13 20:47 6.0 1.0 38 21.1 0.159 5.2 73 26 35.6 0.00 -0.07 -0.07
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.43 3 13 16 16 17:55 6.9 -3.9 44 6.8 0.157 -8.9 4 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.42 10 5 15 16 17:04 6.7 2.3 49 20.4 0.137 6.7 194 87 44.8 0.51 -0.13 0.39
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.40 3 8 11 13 19:28 5.1 -2.1 28 10.7 0.184 -7.7 127 61 48.0 0.27 -0.15 0.12
CAR Seth Jarvis (R) 0.37 1 6 7 5 16:08 1.8 -0.8 12 8.3 0.154 -7.0 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.37 6 8 14 16 17:37 5.9 -0.9 44 13.6 0.134 0.3 10 2 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.29 4 14 18 13 20:58 3.8 0.2 35 11.4 0.107 0.7 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Taylor Hall (L)+ 0.29 3 2 5 8 13:01 2.3 0.7 17 17.6 0.134 4.2 2 1 50.0 0.04 0.00 0.04
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.27 8 1 9 12 14:35 3.3 3.7 20 40.0 0.164 23.6 186 89 47.8 0.16 -0.11 0.05
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.24 4 10 14 16 16:04 3.8 0.2 34 11.8 0.111 0.6 5 3 60.0 0.11 0.00 0.11
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 4 4 8 13 17:30 3.1 0.9 17 23.5 0.181 5.5 246 125 50.8 0.16 -0.22 -0.06
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.23 0 8 8 16 13:04 3.7 -3.7 27 0.0 0.137 -13.7 3 1 33.3 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.19 4 6 10 13 14:34 2.5 0.5 21 19.0 0.118 7.3 17 7 41.2 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.17 2 5 7 16 14:42 2.8 -0.8 24 8.3 0.116 -3.3 41 21 51.2 0.02 -0.06 -0.05
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.17 4 0 4 13 11:42 2.3 1.7 17 23.5 0.133 10.2 83 33 39.8 0.04 -0.35 -0.31
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.15 2 5 7 16 12:26 2.5 -0.5 24 8.3 0.103 -1.9 5 1 20.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jordan Staal (C)+ 0.15 0 0 0 6 15:33 0.9 -0.9 6 0.0 0.151 -15.1 124 69 55.6 0.15 -0.01 0.14
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.14 0 2 2 12 15:32 1.6 -1.6 12 0.0 0.137 -13.7 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.13 2 2 4 13 14:41 1.7 0.3 16 12.5 0.105 2.0 1 1 100.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Jeffrey Viel (L) 0.11 0 2 2 10 9:26 1.1 -1.1 7 0.0 0.155 -15.5 2 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C)+ 0.11 1 1 2 11 13:33 1.2 -0.2 14 7.1 0.085 -1.3 140 80 57.1 0.05 -0.18 -0.13
CAR Nicolas Deslauriers (L) 0.09 2 1 3 11 8:57 1.0 1.0 7 28.6 0.148 13.8 1 0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.09 4 3 7 14 11:54 1.2 2.8 14 28.6 0.087 19.8 84 38 45.2 0.18 -0.08 0.10
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.09 0 2 2 5 12:22 0.4 -0.4 5 0.0 0.085 -8.5 50 20 40.0 0.04 -0.14 -0.10
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.07 0 1 1 3 9:10 0.2 -0.2 1 0.0 0.213 -21.3 2 1 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Defensemen
Team Player xGF/G G A Pts GP Avg TOI xGF G-xGF SOG S% xGF/S S%-xS% FO FOW FO% FO xGF FO xGA FO xG
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.21 5 3 8 13 19:12 2.7 2.3 36 13.9 0.075 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.14 0 0 0 13 18:16 1.8 -1.8 15 0.0 0.119 -11.9 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.13 2 9 11 16 17:31 2.1 -0.1 28 7.1 0.075 -0.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.11 3 6 9 16 21:16 1.8 1.2 33 9.1 0.054 3.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.10 1 3 4 16 22:27 1.6 -0.6 23 4.3 0.070 -2.7 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Juuso Välimäki (D) 0.09 2 1 3 6 14:01 0.5 1.5 7 28.6 0.074 21.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.08 0 3 3 7 16:57 0.6 -0.6 13 0.0 0.043 -4.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.07 3 2 5 12 14:13 0.9 2.1 15 20.0 0.059 14.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.07 2 5 7 12 16:55 0.9 1.1 18 11.1 0.048 6.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.07 1 3 4 16 20:36 1.1 -0.1 21 4.8 0.053 -0.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.06 0 4 4 16 21:24 1.0 -1.0 29 0.0 0.034 -3.4 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.06 0 2 2 8 12:26 0.5 -0.5 9 0.0 0.053 -5.3 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Erik Cernak (D)+ 0.05 0 2 2 12 19:00 0.6 -0.6 15 0.0 0.042 -4.2 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.03 0 2 2 13 16:24 0.4 -0.4 7 0.0 0.051 -5.1 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 6 12:42 0.1 -0.1 2 0.0 0.065 -6.5 0 0 - 0.00 0.00 0.00
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax GSAx GAA SV% W GP L W% SO GA SA SV xGA
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +4.17% 8.8 1.49 0.929 10 10 0 100.0 2 15 210 195 23.8
TBL Dennis Hildeby (G) -0.06% 0.0 2.98 0.885 2 3 0 66.7 0 9 78 69 9.0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.03% -2.5 3.00 0.877 6 10 3 60.0 0 30 243 213 27.5
CAR Brandon Bussi (G) -3.33% -4.9 3.27 0.865 2 6 2 33.3 0 20 148 128 15.1