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Tuesday, October 6, 2026 (7:00 PM ET)
Scotiabank Arena | SCRIPPS
46% xGF Expected Goals Share 54% xGF
NSH was expected to score 3.37 goals TOR was expected to score 4.03 goals
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG NSH TOR Dots represent goals
Goals & Replays
  • ► Steven Stamkos scores at 7:13 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (1-0)
  • ► Nils Hoglander scores at 9:08 in the 1st period 0.47 xG (2-0) End of Period 1
  • ► Nils Hoglander scores at 3:03 in the 2nd period 0.18 xG (3-0)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 4:56 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (3-1)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 6:58 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (3-2)
  • ► Steven Stamkos scores at 13:30 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (4-2)
  • ► Gavin McKenna scores at 14:31 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (4-3) End of Period 2
  • ► Jack Roslovic scores at 8:54 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (4-4) End of Period 3
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 4:46 in the OT period 0.14 xG (4-5) End of Game
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
xG by State
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Man-Advantage 1:53 0.64 1 5:27 0.80 1
Even Strength 57:26 2.73 3 57:26 3.23 4
Short-Handed 5:27 0.00 0 1:53 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 18:51 0.95 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 22:50 1.10 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 23:05 1.32 1 23:05 1.69 1
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 22:50 0.91 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 18:51 1.42 3
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
NSH Nils Hoglander (L) 0.66 2 0 2 14 10:38 2 +1 0 0
NSH Steven Stamkos (C) 0.61 2 0 2 26 19:43 3 0 0 1
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.57 1 0 1 20 18:46 6 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.57 1 3 4 23 25:09 4 +2 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.55 1 2 3 23 22:48 1 +2 0 1
TOR Kirill Marchenko (R) 0.48 0 1 1 23 21:35 3 -1 0 0
TOR Gavin McKenna (L) 0.36 1 1 2 18 14:45 4 +1 0 0
NSH Filip Forsberg (L) 0.35 0 2 2 28 21:00 2 +1 0 0
NSH Adam Edstrom (C) 0.34 0 0 0 21 14:11 3 0 0 0
NSH Matthew Wood (R) 0.28 0 1 1 22 16:54 1 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.26 0 0 0 19 16:01 3 0 0 0
TOR Nick Paul (L) 0.25 0 0 0 17 13:27 2 -2 0 0
TOR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.23 1 1 2 20 17:46 4 +1 0 0
NSH Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.18 0 1 1 33 23:40 1 -2 0 0
TOR Colton Sissons (C) 0.15 0 0 0 17 13:39 2 0 0 0
NSH Jack Drury (C) 0.12 0 0 0 21 15:34 1 0 2 0
TOR Brandon Duhaime (L) 0.11 0 0 0 14 11:22 1 0 0 0
NSH Alexander Kerfoot (C) 0.10 0 0 0 28 18:50 1 -2 0 0
NSH Jonathan Marchessault (C) 0.09 0 0 0 19 13:17 2 0 2 0
NSH Ross Colton (C) 0.07 0 0 0 20 12:52 2 -1 2 0
NSH Mavrik Bourque (C) 0.06 0 1 1 26 19:15 1 +1 0 0
TOR Teddy Blueger (C) 0.01 0 0 0 13 09:53 1 -1 0 0
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.00 0 0 0 10 07:31 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
NSH Adam Wilsby (D) 0.24 0 1 1 19 15:05 2 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.24 0 0 0 25 20:39 2 0 2 0
TOR Darren Raddysh (D) 0.12 0 0 0 27 25:51 2 0 0 0
NSH Nick Perbix (D) 0.10 0 0 0 26 20:49 1 -1 0 0
NSH William Trudeau (D) 0.08 0 0 0 15 10:38 1 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.08 0 0 0 20 17:20 1 0 0 0
NSH Roman Josi (D) 0.05 0 1 1 29 26:33 1 -1 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.05 0 0 0 22 17:27 0 0 0 0
NSH Nicolas Hague (D) 0.04 0 0 0 25 19:12 1 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 19:59 1 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 18:38 0 +1 0 0
NSH Jack Ahcan (D) 0.00 0 0 0 10 07:58 0 +1 0 0
NSH Brady Skjei (D) 0.00 0 1 1 30 22:53 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) -1.58% 0.840 -0.6 4 21 64:46 25 W 0
NSH Juuse Saros (G) -1.76% 0.865 -1.0 5 32 64:35 37 O 0