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Tuesday, March 11, 2025
7:30 PM ET
Lenovo Center (ESPN+)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1 – 4
Final
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
44% xGF%
56% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.44 goals CAR was expected to score 3.13 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL CAR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Carolina Hurricanes
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:00 0.28 0 9:17 0.53 0
Even Strength 48:43 2.14 1 48:43 2.51 3
Penalty Kill 9:17 0.01 0 2:00 0.08 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 27:04 1.57 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 28:27 1.47 1
Tied 4:29 0.40 0 4:29 0.08 1
Down 1 28:27 1.41 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 27:04 0.64 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Seth Jarvis scores at 4:29 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jordan Martinook scores at 12:56 in the 2nd period 0.01 xG (0-2)
  • ► Jack Roslovic scores at 19:15 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (0-3)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 4:38 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (1-3)
  • ► Sean Walker scores at 6:26 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (1-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.57 0 0 0 21 16:34 4 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.43 0 0 0 20 19:01 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.43 1 0 1 19 19:54 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.30 0 0 0 17 12:55 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.24 0 0 0 21 16:43 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.24 0 0 0 21 21:28 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.23 0 0 0 21 15:17 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.23 1 0 1 16 10:54 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.23 0 0 0 16 12:48 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.22 0 1 1 19 20:12 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.16 0 0 0 19 16:40 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.15 0 1 1 15 17:57 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.15 1 0 1 20 11:49 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.15 0 1 1 17 11:24 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.11 0 0 0 15 11:37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.10 1 0 1 20 17:51 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.09 0 0 0 15 13:22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.09 0 0 0 19 14:15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.08 0 1 1 20 14:52 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.04 0 0 0 13 15:17 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.03 0 0 0 17 15:29 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Luke Glendening (C) 0.01 0 0 0 15 13:42 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Tyson Jost (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 10:04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.31 1 0 1 23 19:32 4 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.31 0 0 0 24 23:08 4 -2 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.18 0 0 0 21 22:35 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Scott Morrow (D) 0.13 0 0 0 19 15:12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.12 0 0 0 23 19:18 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Brent Burns (D) 0.08 0 0 0 21 22:24 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.07 0 0 0 15 12:22 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.05 0 0 0 21 17:50 2 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 16:35 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.01 0 0 0 22 18:21 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.01 0 1 1 18 14:38 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:57 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.00 0 1 1 22 17:18 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +6.00% 0.958 1.4 1 23 59:45 24 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -2.81% 0.871 -0.9 4 27 60:00 31 L 0