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Friday, March 20, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (NHLN)
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4 – 3
Final/OT
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
70% xGF%
30% xGF%
CAR was expected to score 4.70 goals TOR was expected to score 2.03 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG CAR TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Carolina Hurricanes Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 10:21 1.70 2 2:23 0.18 0
Even Strength 47:57 2.57 1 47:57 1.72 3
Penalty Kill 2:23 0.43 1 10:21 0.13 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 17:22 0.99 0 14:09 0.15 0
Tied 29:10 1.98 3 29:10 1.05 1
Down 1 14:09 1.73 1 17:22 0.83 2
  • ► Dakota Joshua scores at 11:48 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jordan Staal scores at 5:57 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (1-1)
  • ► Eric Robinson scores at 12:35 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (2-1)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 13:47 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (2-2)
  • ► K'Andre Miller scores at 17:40 in the 2nd period 0.20 xG (3-2)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 13:50 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (3-3)
  • ► Alexander Nikishin scores at 0:41 in the OT period 0.08 xG (4-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.73 0 0 0 17 17:07
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.58 1 0 1 25 18:03
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.49 0 2 2 22 17:56
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.48 0 0 0 18 17:39
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.40 1 0 1 12 08:25
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.38 0 2 2 22 18:47
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.33 1 0 1 19 16:12
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.32 0 0 0 18 16:32
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.29 1 0 1 19 20:39
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.25 1 0 1 17 11:25
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.16 0 0 0 18 15:36
TOR Bo Groulx (C) 0.13 0 1 1 19 15:53
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.12 0 0 0 14 10:40
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.11 0 0 0 18 12:18
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.11 0 0 0 15 12:21
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.10 0 0 0 13 10:39
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.10 0 0 0 22 18:00
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.09 0 0 0 21 20:01
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.05 0 0 0 19 14:36
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.02 0 0 0 13 09:32
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.00 0 0 0 22 16:31
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.00 0 2 2 16 12:59
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 1 1 17 14:46
TOR Jacob Quillan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 10:12
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.37 1 0 1 22 14:23
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.32 0 0 0 27 20:42
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.20 1 0 1 27 23:58
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.18 0 0 0 27 21:41
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.12 0 0 0 23 22:07
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.10 0 0 0 23 18:01
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.09 0 0 0 24 18:33
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.06 0 1 1 27 22:55
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.04 0 0 0 24 16:24
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.02 0 0 0 14 09:07
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 23:58
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 21:28
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
TOR Joseph Woll (G) +1.94% 0.889 0.7 4 32 60:41
CAR Brandon Bussi (G) -3.72% 0.885 -1.0 3 23 60:41