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Friday, October 23, 2026 (9:00 PM ET)
Ball Arena | ALT
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 – 6
Final
Colorado Avalanche
 COL
62% xGF%
38% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.66 goals COL was expected to score 2.25 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TBL COL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 10:21 0.72 1 4:43 0.50 1
Even Strength 44:56 2.94 2 44:56 1.65 4
Penalty Kill 4:43 0.00 0 10:21 0.10 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 54:08 1.92 3
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 4:44 0.28 1
Tied 1:08 0.41 0 1:08 0.04 1
Down 1 4:44 0.22 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 54:08 3.03 3 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Devon Toews scores at 1:08 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nazem Kadri scores at 5:52 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (0-2)
  • ► Fedor Svechkov scores at 0:24 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (0-3)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 8:13 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (1-3)
  • ► Artturi Lehkonen scores at 13:57 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-4)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:17 in the 2nd period 0.54 xG (2-4)
  • ► Nathan MacKinnon scores at 4:18 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (2-5)
  • ► Charle-Edouard D'Astous scores at 15:13 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (3-5)
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 17:19 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
COL COL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 1.14 2 0 2 23 22:12 7 0 2 1
COL T.J. Hughes (R) 0.50 0 1 1 16 13:10 4 +1 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.43 0 0 0 27 17:19 1 -2 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.41 0 1 1 22 17:59 3 +1 0 0
COL Logan O'Connor (R) 0.36 0 0 0 18 14:47 3 0 2 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.34 0 2 2 23 20:50 3 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.29 0 0 0 21 12:55 2 -2 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.25 1 3 4 22 18:10 4 +4 0 0
COL Gabriel Landeskog (L) 0.21 0 1 1 15 11:51 1 +1 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.20 0 0 0 18 11:59 1 -2 0 0
COL Fedor Svechkov (C) 0.18 1 0 1 17 11:48 1 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.12 0 0 0 24 20:43 2 -1 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.11 0 0 0 25 18:22 0 -1 0 0
COL Nazem Kadri (C) 0.10 1 0 1 18 15:03 1 -1 0 1
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.09 0 1 1 24 20:33 2 -1 2 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.08 1 1 2 24 18:56 1 +2 2 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.07 0 0 0 15 12:35 1 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 12:28 1 0 2 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.07 0 0 0 19 14:17 1 0 0 0
TBL Ilya Mikheyev (R) 0.03 0 0 0 20 13:52 1 -3 0 0
COL Taylor Makar (L) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:11 0 0 2 0
COL Jaden Schwartz (L) 0.00 0 1 1 17 13:07 0 -1 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.00 1 2 3 20 16:32 1 +4 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.24 0 0 0 25 21:07 3 +2 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.21 1 1 2 24 21:06 3 +2 2 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.15 0 1 1 23 17:17 3 0 0 0
COL Devon Toews (D) 0.10 1 1 2 25 17:41 2 +3 2 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 15:15 2 -1 0 0
TBL John Carlson (D) 0.05 0 0 0 24 18:15 1 -2 0 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 19:03 1 0 2 0
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 18:15 1 -1 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 16:44 1 -2 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 17:27 0 -2 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.00 0 0 0 8 05:56 0 -1 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 18:21 0 0 0 0
COL Brett Kulak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 21:06 0 +2 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
COL Mackenzie Blackwood (G) +1.95% 0.912 0.7 3 31 60:00 34 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -11.97% 0.783 -2.8 5 18 59:52 23 L 0