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Wednesday, January 15, 2025 (6:00 PM ET)
KeyBank Center | TNT
60% xGF Expected Goals Share 40% xGF
CAR was expected to score 3.04 goals BUF was expected to score 2.06 goals
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG CAR BUF Dots represent goals
Goals & Replays
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 0:43 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (0-1) End of Period 1
  • ► Dylan Cozens scores at 8:18 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (0-2)
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 19:56 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (0-3) End of Period 2
  • ► Jaccob Slavin scores at 3:45 in the 3rd period 0.01 xG (1-3)
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 16:50 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (2-3)
  • ► Ryan McLeod scores at 19:36 in the 3rd period (2-4) End of Game
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
xG by State
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Man-Advantage 8:17 0.88 0 2:00 0.53 0
Even Strength 49:43 2.13 2 49:43 1.52 3
Short-Handed 2:00 0.03 0 8:17 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 28:56 0.62 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 30:21 1.39 1
Tied 0:43 0.00 0 0:43 0.04 1
Down 1 30:21 1.67 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 28:56 1.37 2 0:00 0.00 0
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.52 0 0 0 21 19:56 3 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.49 0 0 0 22 20:40 5 -1 0 0
CAR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.41 0 0 0 18 15:15 3 -2 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.33 3 0 3 23 17:06 3 +3 2 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.28 0 1 1 22 18:44 3 +2 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.26 0 1 1 18 15:39 2 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.24 0 0 0 18 14:18 2 -1 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.21 0 1 1 19 15:00 1 +2 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.21 0 0 0 17 12:55 2 -1 0 0
CAR Jack Drury (C) 0.20 0 0 0 18 14:10 3 -1 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.15 0 0 0 18 13:47 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (R) 0.14 0 0 0 23 19:37 2 -2 0 0
BUF Sam Lafferty (C) 0.13 0 0 0 20 13:25 0 -1 2 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.13 0 2 2 19 16:01 2 +2 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.12 0 0 0 15 12:04 1 0 0 0
CAR Martin Necas (C) 0.12 1 0 1 19 19:33 1 +1 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.11 0 0 0 18 13:11 2 -1 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.11 0 0 0 17 13:35 2 +2 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.09 0 0 0 17 13:25 0 -1 0 0
CAR Juha Jaaska (L) 0.09 0 0 0 14 10:43 0 +1 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.09 0 0 0 18 11:36 0 -1 0 0
BUF Dylan Cozens (C) 0.08 1 0 1 19 13:38 1 +1 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.06 0 0 0 19 12:16 0 -1 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.03 0 1 1 22 15:05 1 -1 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.14 0 1 1 18 19:44 5 +1 0 0
CAR Brent Burns (D) 0.12 0 2 2 26 22:46 8 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.09 0 0 0 26 21:34 2 +2 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 23:10 1 +1 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.03 1 0 1 24 20:39 1 -1 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 21:23 1 -1 0 0
CAR Dmitry Orlov (D) 0.02 0 0 0 21 19:29 0 -2 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.01 0 0 0 21 16:09 1 -2 0 0
BUF Henri Jokiharju (D) 0.01 0 0 0 20 15:53 1 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.01 0 0 0 19 15:19 0 0 2 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 19:55 1 +1 0 0
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.00 0 1 1 19 16:37 1 +1 2 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +1.66% 0.946 1.0 2 35 60:00 37 W 0
CAR Dustin Tokarski (G) -2.49% 0.875 -0.9 3 21 57:43 24 L 0