bpdatabases - NHL hockey analytics bpdatabases - NHL hockey analytics

Loading game data…

Friday, January 16, 2026 (9:00 PM ET)
Ball Arena | ALT
Nashville Predators NSH
7-3
Final
COL Colorado Avalanche
43% xGF Expected Goals Share 57% xGF
NSH was expected to score 2.16 goals COL was expected to score 2.84 goals
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG NSH COL Dots represent goals
Goals & Replays
  • ► Ryan O'Reilly scores at 0:30 in the 1st period 0.30 xG (1-0)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 1:24 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-1)
  • ► Ryan O'Reilly scores at 7:32 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (2-1)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 11:16 in the 1st period 0.15 xG (2-2) End of Period 1
  • ► Ryan O'Reilly scores at 13:01 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (3-2)
  • ► Michael Bunting scores at 18:04 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (4-2) End of Period 2
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 1:09 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (4-3)
  • ► Filip Forsberg scores at 15:13 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (5-3)
  • ► Steven Stamkos scores at 17:04 in the 3rd period (6-3)
  • ► Michael McCarron scores at 17:41 in the 3rd period (7-3) End of Game
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
xG by State
Nashville Predators
Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Man-Advantage 2:11 0.22 1 5:00 0.48 0
Even Strength 52:49 1.90 4 52:49 2.36 3
Short-Handed 5:00 0.03 0 2:11 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 7:52 0.09 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 23:45 0.64 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 28:23 1.43 3 28:23 1.31 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 23:45 1.26 2
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 7:52 0.27 1
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
NSH Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.71 3 1 4 25 19:44 6 +4 0 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.47 0 1 1 23 18:30 3 -3 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.36 2 0 2 21 16:13 4 -3 0 0
NSH Tyson Jost (C) 0.35 0 0 0 17 12:05 4 0 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.31 0 1 1 24 20:37 4 -2 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.26 0 0 0 18 14:35 2 0 0 0
NSH Filip Forsberg (L) 0.26 1 2 3 22 18:35 5 +3 0 1
NSH Michael Bunting (L) 0.24 1 1 2 20 15:19 2 +1 0 0
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.22 0 1 1 21 15:18 3 -3 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.18 0 0 0 18 13:31 5 +1 0 0
COL Victor Olofsson (L) 0.17 0 0 0 17 13:33 1 0 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.15 1 0 1 23 20:07 2 -2 0 0
COL Gavin Brindley (C) 0.15 0 0 0 13 12:13 1 0 0 0
NSH Matthew Wood (R) 0.12 0 0 0 16 11:11 2 0 0 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.11 0 0 0 19 16:52 0 -1 0 0
NSH Erik Haula (L) 0.09 0 0 0 20 15:07 1 0 2 0
NSH Reid Schaefer (L) 0.08 0 0 0 16 11:04 1 -2 0 0
NSH Cole Smith (R) 0.06 0 0 0 19 12:13 0 -2 2 0
NSH Steven Stamkos (C) 0.04 1 1 2 20 16:55 2 +1 0 0
COL Ivan Ivan (C) 0.04 0 0 0 12 09:36 1 0 0 0
NSH Michael McCarron (C) 0.01 1 0 1 20 12:23 1 0 0 0
NSH Luke Evangelista (R) 0.00 0 2 2 22 18:11 0 +3 0 0
NSH Fedor Svechkov (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 12:26 0 0 0 0
COL Zakhar Bardakov (C) 0.00 0 0 0 12 10:24 0 0 2 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.19 0 1 1 27 22:33 6 +1 0 0
NSH Brady Skjei (D) 0.11 0 0 0 32 23:58 3 +4 0 0
NSH Roman Josi (D) 0.08 0 3 3 31 26:16 2 +3 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.08 0 1 1 23 21:11 4 +1 0 0
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.07 0 0 0 28 23:26 1 -3 0 0
COL Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.04 0 0 0 15 11:35 1 -1 0 0
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.04 0 1 1 25 18:53 4 +1 0 0
NSH Nick Blankenburg (D) 0.01 0 0 0 18 14:18 1 -1 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 20:04 0 -3 0 0
NSH Nicolas Hague (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 22:08 0 0 0 0
NSH Nick Perbix (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 20:55 0 +1 0 0
NSH Justin Barron (D) 0.00 0 0 0 15 13:12 0 -1 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
NSH Juuse Saros (G) -0.31% 0.929 -0.2 3 39 60:00 42 W 0
COL Mackenzie Blackwood (G) -7.89% 0.821 -2.8 5 23 59:31 28 L 0