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Thursday, January 8, 2026 (9:00 PM ET)
Ball Arena | ALT
OTT
Ottawa Senators
2 – 8
Final
Colorado Avalanche
 COL
43% xGF%
57% xGF%
OTT was expected to score 2.34 goals COL was expected to score 3.15 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG OTT COL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Ottawa Senators Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:47 0.21 0 8:53 1.42 2
Even Strength 45:20 1.85 1 45:20 1.72 6
Penalty Kill 8:53 0.29 1 5:47 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 42:46 2.36 6
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 7:03 0.18 1
Tied 10:11 0.20 0 10:11 0.61 1
Down 1 7:03 0.46 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 42:46 1.68 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Josh Manson scores at 10:11 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nathan MacKinnon scores at 17:14 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (0-2)
  • ► Cale Makar scores at 2:35 in the 2nd period 0.02 xG (0-3)
  • ► Shane Pinto scores at 5:08 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (1-3)
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 11:46 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (1-4)
  • ► Brent Burns scores at 12:03 in the 2nd period 0.01 xG (1-5)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 14:23 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (1-6)
  • ► Josh Manson scores at 16:48 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (1-7)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 18:04 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (1-8)
  • ► Brady Tkachuk scores at 7:03 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (2-8)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
COL COL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.67 0 0 0 21 17:14 4 -1 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.52 0 3 3 21 15:14 4 +3 0 0
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.43 1 0 1 24 15:04 7 -1 2 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.38 1 3 4 19 17:14 5 0 0 0
OTT Dylan Cozens (C) 0.36 0 0 0 21 14:02 3 -1 0 0
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.30 1 0 1 28 18:10 3 -1 4 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.28 0 0 0 21 15:15 3 -1 0 0
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.28 0 0 0 26 16:30 2 0 12 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.27 1 1 2 19 18:33 2 +2 0 1
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.26 0 0 0 23 17:06 2 0 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.23 2 1 3 23 16:09 2 +1 0 1
OTT Fabian Zetterlund (L) 0.18 0 0 0 21 12:46 1 -1 0 0
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.15 0 0 0 21 15:03 1 +2 0 0
OTT Lars Eller (C) 0.13 0 0 0 19 11:10 1 -1 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.11 0 1 1 23 16:16 2 +1 0 0
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.10 0 1 1 26 17:26 1 -1 0 0
COL Gavin Brindley (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 13:53 0 0 0 0
COL Ivan Ivan (C) 0.05 0 0 0 14 09:37 0 +1 0 0
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.03 0 0 0 25 13:54 0 -1 2 0
OTT David Perron (L) 0.03 0 0 0 22 13:41 1 -1 0 0
COL Zakhar Bardakov (C) 0.00 0 1 1 16 11:43 0 +1 0 0
COL Victor Olofsson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:03 0 0 0 0
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 10:44 0 -2 12 0
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 17:07 0 -2 5 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.18 1 0 1 27 20:23 5 +2 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.18 2 2 4 26 19:25 5 +5 7 0
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.07 0 0 0 27 19:47 2 -3 0 0
OTT Tyler Kleven (D) 0.06 0 1 1 27 19:01 1 +1 5 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.06 0 1 1 19 16:19 1 0 0 0
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.05 0 0 0 27 17:20 4 -2 0 0
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.02 1 2 3 22 19:50 1 0 0 0
OTT Jake Sanderson (D) 0.02 0 1 1 31 20:29 2 -2 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.02 0 0 0 28 19:40 0 +1 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 18:09 0 +1 9 0
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 18:30 0 -3 0 0
COL Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.00 0 1 1 23 17:49 0 +2 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
COL Scott Wedgewood (G) +1.11% 0.936 0.3 2 29 60:00 31 W 0
OTT Leevi Meriläinen (G) -7.13% 0.833 -1.3 3 15 42:35 18 L 0
OTT Mads Sogaard (G) -22.32% 0.688 -3.6 5 11 17:25 16 - 0