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Saturday, March 8, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Ball Arena (NHLN)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 7
Final
Colorado Avalanche
 COL
36% xGF%
64% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 1.77 goals COL was expected to score 3.09 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG TOR COL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 1:52 0.48 1 7:13 1.01 1
Even Strength 50:55 1.29 3 50:55 2.07 4
Penalty Kill 7:13 0.00 0 1:52 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 2:26 0.32 0 1:54 0.00 0
Up 1 33:25 0.87 1 11:12 0.28 0
Tied 11:03 0.11 1 11:03 0.66 3
Down 1 11:12 0.29 2 33:25 1.89 1
Down 2+ 1:54 0.18 0 2:26 0.24 1
  • ► Valeri Nichushkin scores at 0:56 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (0-1)
  • ► Mitch Marner scores at 3:04 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-1)
  • ► Valeri Nichushkin scores at 6:08 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-2)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 12:51 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (2-2)
  • ► Mitch Marner scores at 16:04 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (3-2)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 12:45 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (4-2)
  • ► Joel Kiviranta scores at 15:11 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (4-3)
  • ► Jonathan Drouin scores at 11:55 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (4-4)
  • ► Nathan MacKinnon scores at 15:45 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (4-5)
  • ► Valeri Nichushkin scores at 18:06 in the 3rd period (4-6)
  • ► Nathan MacKinnon scores at 19:07 in the 3rd period (4-7)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
COL COL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.66 3 1 4 23 19:44 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Jonathan Drouin (L) 0.42 1 0 1 20 15:49 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.36 2 0 2 26 25:28 3 +1 0 1 0 0 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.34 0 1 1 24 20:49 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.32 2 0 2 23 17:12 3 -3 0 1 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.32 0 0 0 19 11:54 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.30 0 1 1 21 21:36 6 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.27 0 0 0 19 14:30 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Mitch Marner (R) 0.26 2 0 2 27 19:21 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.23 0 2 2 25 18:13 2 -3 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.17 0 3 3 27 20:31 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.14 0 0 0 17 10:06 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.13 0 2 2 16 11:46 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Joel Kiviranta (L) 0.11 1 0 1 16 09:34 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.08 0 0 0 16 08:58 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.05 0 0 0 14 09:17 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.04 0 1 1 22 18:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.02 0 0 0 16 10:51 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.01 0 1 1 27 20:03 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.00 0 1 1 17 10:44 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 13 09:21 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Logan O'Connor (R) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Charlie Coyle (C) 0.00 0 1 1 17 11:44 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.14 0 1 1 23 16:57 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.11 0 1 1 26 23:37 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ryan Lindgren (D) 0.10 0 1 1 25 17:52 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.07 0 0 0 32 21:45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Devon Toews (D) 0.07 0 1 1 26 22:30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 18:17 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.03 0 2 2 21 14:44 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 20:52 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.01 0 0 0 33 21:00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.01 0 0 0 29 22:04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 16:10 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:06 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) -5.97% 0.844 -1.9 5 27 58:39 32 L 0
COL Mackenzie Blackwood (G) -10.63% 0.810 -2.2 4 17 59:35 21 W 0