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Tuesday, January 6, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (ALT)
COL
Colorado Avalanche
2 – 4
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
COL was expected to score 2.98 goals TBL was expected to score 2.55 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG COL TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:58 1.00 0 3:34 0.76 1
Even Strength 50:28 1.97 2 50:28 1.78 2
Penalty Kill 3:34 0.00 0 5:58 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 1:25 0.01 0
Up 1 7:51 0.37 0 13:38 0.28 0
Tied 37:06 1.12 1 37:06 1.95 2
Down 1 13:38 1.20 1 7:51 0.30 1
Down 2+ 1:25 0.29 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:48 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Parker Kelly scores at 3:22 in the 2nd period 0.21 xG (1-1)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 9:31 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (2-1)
  • ► Zemgus Girgensons scores at 17:22 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (2-2)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 8:31 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (2-3)
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 18:35 in the 3rd period (2-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.71 1 0 1 20 18:38 3 -1 0 1 0 0 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.56 1 0 1 15 11:20 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.48 0 0 0 23 21:54 3 -2 2 0 0 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.33 0 0 0 21 15:54 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.30 1 0 1 26 22:14 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.28 0 0 0 17 16:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.28 1 1 2 20 17:39 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.23 0 0 0 24 18:55 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.22 0 0 0 18 12:34 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.20 0 0 0 23 22:37 5 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.17 0 0 0 15 11:47 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.17 0 0 0 16 12:12 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.16 1 0 1 19 14:40 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Victor Olofsson (L) 0.14 0 0 0 18 11:54 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.14 1 0 1 19 14:05 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.12 0 0 0 15 13:43 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.12 0 2 2 17 16:20 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Taylor Makar (L) 0.08 0 0 0 8 05:29 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.03 0 1 1 17 14:27 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.03 0 0 0 13 12:08 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Zakhar Bardakov (C) 0.01 0 1 1 11 07:23 1 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.01 0 1 1 20 16:15 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.00 0 0 0 22 19:30 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Gavin Brindley (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 14:49 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.17 0 1 1 27 26:04 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.12 0 2 2 25 24:39 4 +2 2 0 0 0 0
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.10 0 0 0 22 18:19 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.08 0 0 0 23 18:51 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.08 0 0 0 27 20:18 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.05 0 0 0 21 18:42 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.05 0 1 1 17 15:33 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.04 0 0 0 28 21:10 2 0 14 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.04 0 0 0 30 24:06 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 19:02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.00 0 1 1 13 12:53 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 11:30 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +2.96% 0.939 1.0 2 31 60:00 33 W 0
COL Scott Wedgewood (G) -1.68% 0.889 -0.5 3 24 58:02 27 L 0