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Monday, January 12, 2026
10:00 PM ET
Ball Arena (ALT)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 3
Final/OT
Colorado Avalanche
 COL
43% xGF%
57% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.45 goals COL was expected to score 3.27 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TOR COL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:53 0.48 0 5:38 0.48 1
Even Strength 53:28 1.97 4 53:28 2.79 2
Penalty Kill 5:38 0.00 0 4:53 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 7:28 0.50 0 4:19 0.29 0
Tied 52:12 1.73 3 52:12 2.32 1
Down 1 4:19 0.22 1 7:28 0.66 2
  • ► Easton Cowan scores at 11:15 in the 1st period 0.01 xG (1-0)
  • ► Cale Makar scores at 16:12 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-1)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 17:53 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-2)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 2:12 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (2-2)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 10:24 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (3-2)
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 12:55 in the 3rd period 0.24 xG (3-3)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 3:59 in the OT period 0.11 xG (4-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.79 1 0 1 26 22:09 4 -2 0 1 0 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.79 1 1 2 26 22:31 5 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.50 1 0 1 25 18:06 6 +1 2 0 0 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.37 0 0 0 20 15:03 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.35 1 1 2 23 21:29 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.33 1 1 2 29 25:29 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.30 0 3 3 29 24:40 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.27 0 0 0 24 19:26 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.26 0 0 0 21 17:29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.19 0 0 0 19 14:28 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.18 0 0 0 25 21:39 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.07 0 0 0 24 15:58 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Victor Olofsson (L) 0.06 0 0 0 21 15:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.06 0 0 0 21 12:14 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.05 0 0 0 25 21:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.05 0 0 0 24 11:51 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.04 0 0 0 22 17:36 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.01 1 0 1 15 11:10 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.00 0 0 0 26 18:24 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
COL Zakhar Bardakov (C) 0.00 0 0 0 7 04:34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 09:08 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Gavin Brindley (C) 0.00 0 0 0 8 05:52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 2 01:14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ivan Ivan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 7 05:04 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.25 0 0 0 34 22:16 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.20 0 0 0 30 20:45 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.14 0 0 0 25 20:10 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.12 1 1 2 32 27:22 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.09 0 0 0 27 22:09 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.08 0 0 0 26 20:42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.04 0 0 0 22 21:11 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.04 0 2 2 32 20:53 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.03 0 0 0 13 09:08 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 16:53 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.01 0 0 0 28 18:41 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 32 20:38 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Joseph Woll (G) +0.79% 0.912 0.3 3 31 63:06 34 W 0
COL Trent Miner (G) -1.77% 0.903 -1.5 4 28 63:28 31 O 0