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Saturday, March 25, 2023
7:00 PM ET
PNC Arena
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 – 5
Final
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
71% xGF%
29% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 5.72 goals CAR was expected to score 2.34 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2 Cumulative xG TOR CAR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Carolina Hurricanes
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:16 1.91 0 2:49 0.72 1
Even Strength 49:55 3.55 3 49:55 1.62 3
Penalty Kill 2:49 0.26 0 7:16 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 15:06 0.20 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 26:56 1.09 1
Tied 17:58 1.89 0 17:58 1.05 3
Down 1 26:56 1.65 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 15:06 2.18 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • Brent Burns scores at 1:54 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (0-1)
  • Jordan Staal scores at 10:52 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (0-2)
  • Calle Jarnkrok scores at 4:41 in the 2nd period 0.05 xG (1-2)
  • Auston Matthews scores at 12:41 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (2-2)
  • Stefan Noesen scores at 8:13 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (2-3)
  • Auston Matthews scores at 17:02 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (3-3)
  • Sebastian Aho scores at 17:34 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (3-4)
  • Teuvo Teravainen scores at 18:43 in the 3rd period (3-5)
CAR CAR xWin%
—
Bayesian xGF% Analysis →
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 1.60 2 0 2 24 22:19
TOR John Tavares (C) 1.37 0 0 0 21 20:40
TOR Michael Bunting (L) 0.70 0 1 1 23 18:52
CAR Stefan Noesen (R) 0.55 1 0 1 16 12:25
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.36 1 0 1 24 17:48
TOR Mitch Marner (R) 0.30 0 1 1 26 21:43
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.29 1 1 2 24 20:59
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.26 0 0 0 23 22:36
TOR Zachary Aston-Reese (L) 0.24 0 0 0 13 08:00
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.21 0 1 1 14 12:50
TOR Sam Lafferty (C) 0.20 0 0 0 14 09:44
TOR Noel Acciari (C) 0.20 0 0 0 20 16:39
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.20 1 0 1 26 17:00
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.18 0 1 1 24 18:35
CAR Martin Necas (C) 0.12 0 2 2 21 19:20
CAR Jesse Puljujarvi (R) 0.11 0 0 0 10 07:57
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.11 0 0 0 18 13:18
CAR Jack Drury (C) 0.11 0 0 0 10 08:20
CAR Teuvo Teravainen (C) 0.08 1 0 1 26 22:06
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:54
CAR Jesper Fast (R) 0.00 0 2 2 24 15:00
CAR Derek Stepan (C) 0.00 0 0 0 9 07:54
TOR Alexander Kerfoot (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 13:24
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.39 0 0 0 24 16:51
CAR Brent Burns (D) 0.15 1 0 1 29 22:33
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.10 0 1 1 20 15:06
TOR Justin Holl (D) 0.07 0 0 0 23 17:40
CAR Brady Skjei (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 22:14
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.04 0 2 2 25 21:48
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.03 0 1 1 27 22:49
TOR Luke Schenn (D) 0.02 0 0 0 17 11:18
CAR Brett Pesce (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 21:15
TOR Timothy Liljegren (D) 0.01 0 0 0 16 11:39
TOR TJ Brodie (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 19:45
TOR Mark Giordano (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 14:46
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:55
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +6.17% 0.932 2.7 3 41 60:00
TOR Matt Murray (G) -6.15% 0.852 -1.7 4 23 58:44